Wednesday, September 23, 2009

Weekend Review: Week 2

If there is one thing I have learned over the last 2 weeks, it is this. Most teams I thought were bad aren’t as bad as I thought. Most teams I thought were good aren’t as good as good as I thought.

NCAA thoughts
Spread: 7-5-1
Season: 14-19-1
Florida should not be #1 in the country right now. In fact, I believe that there should be no rankings until October. Florida beats a Tennessee team they supposed to destroy by only 10, and is till ranked #1. Texas pulled off a win at home against unranked Texas Tech, but easily could have lost. The combined record of Penn States opponents is 2-6 and they are yet to leave Beaver Stadium.

Yet Miami (FL.) has beaten 2 ranked conference teams (Florida St. and Georgia Tech) , Cincinnati went on the road to Oregon St. and won an impressive 28-18 game, Florida State rolled #7 BYU in Provo, and Virginia Tech squeaked out a win at home against #19 Nebraska, but only Miami is ranked in the top 10 (#9) Wait a minute… does this mean that the ACC and Big East aren’t nearly as bad as we thought. If WVU would have pulled off the upset at Auburn we would have had a BIG discussion.

There actually is a significant chace for quite a BCS disaster to happen this year:
1) If Miami (FL) can go into Blacksburg and beat #11 Virgina Tech and beat Oklahoma at home next week (which Sam Bradford may be back for), I believe they should be ranked #1. They would have the possibility to run the table in the ACC.

2) Cincinnati just went to Corvallis and beat a good Oregon State team on the road. Despite replacing 10 starters from last year, that defense is good. Tony Pike is making his own case for Heisman, and is definitely a top level QB. The game at South Florida shouldn't be tough now that Bulls starting QB Matt Grothe is out for the season. They still have WVU at home and travel to Heinz Field to play Pitt at the end of the season. If they can avoid a major let down this week hosting Fresno State, there is a real chance to go undefeated.

3) Now that USC has lost (again) to an unranked conference opponent, they leave the door open to the PAC-10. In previous years, teams were nowhere near a good as USC within the conference. However, this year, there is a team that could run the table. Cal. They have the best player and my #1 Heisman candidate, Javid Best. He had 131 yrds and 5TDs at Minnesota on Saturday. If Cal can win at Oregon and beat rival USC at home next weekend, they could look at an undefeated regular season with a victory at Washington Dec. 12th.

4) As pathetic as their schedule is, Penn State should be able to run the table this year. They have last year's spoiler Iowa at home this weekend and Ohio State in November. The only tough road games are at Michigan in the "Big House' and at Michigan St. to end the year.

5) Boise St. should easily destroy their schedule. Their only game to watch this year is at Tulsa Oct. 14th. Look for them to have another undefeated season.

6) TCU has the 3rd best defense in the county (behind Alabama and Florida) which will keep them in every game this season. They still have a tough schedule with games at Clemson this weekend, at BYU and at home against Utah. If they can pull those 3 off (which I don't think they will) they would have a flawless record.

7) Houston romped #5 Oklahoma State last week. They host Texas Tech this weekend. If they can pull of the win, they will control their own destiny for the rest of the season to remain undefeated with a fairly easy schedule.

What does all this mean?? There is a good chance, we could have 4 or more undefeated teams in college football.... that aren't Texas or Florida. Will USC end up without a BCS bowl. Will Texas or Florida slip up and loose a game? I know it is early in the season, but are we about to see the strongest case yet for a Division I (fuck the FBS thing) playoff??

NFL Thoughts
Spread: 9-7
Season: 18-14
Picks: 9-7
Season: 23-9

There are only 3 things you can count on in the NFL. The over on the Saints, the Browns are awful, and Joe Buck is as useful as a bloody tampon.

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