1) There are not a lot of spreads that jump off the sheet to me. It appears Vegas has no idea what to do with some of these teams.
2) 8 games with a spread of 6 points or more in the NFL. We will see how many actually cover.
3) Schools are getting too much credit. A lot of big spreads in NCAA's this weekend that should not be.
4) Until Colt McCoy gets his shit together, I don't trust Texas giving points. As cute as a diet of PB&J and Pedialyte is to recover, my pocket doesn't care.
5) Beware of home underdogs, especially in-conference. Always a standard to watch.
My Picks for the weekend: (Picks in Bold home team in CAPS)
NCAA
S. CAROLINA (+4) over Ole Miss: Follow observation #5. Miss might loose this game.
NEVADA (+7) over Missouri: see Ole Miss
OHIO STATE (-14) over Illinois: In the battle of overly BLACK names, Terrelle is better than Juice
Boise St (-16.5) over BOWLING GREEN: Boise St. gave up 507 yrds on the road last week and won by 17
CINCINNATI (-17) over Fresno St: Fresno is playing at 9am their time against the best QB in the Northeast
MISS ST. (+12.5) over Lsu: see Missouri
Arkansas (+17.5) over ALABAMA: The Hogs have the best QB nobody knows about. They will keep this closer then people think
Florida (-22) over KENTUCKY: Flu or no flu, Urban will be out to make a statement after last week.
OREGON (+5.5) over Cal: 2 words.... TRAP GAME!!!
FLORIDA ST. (-14) over S. Florida: Grothe is out for the year. SFU has no offense now.
GEORGIA TECH (-2.5) over Unc: UNC has yet to impress this year like people thought they would.
Colorado St. (+17) over BYU: State is better then people think.
Pitt (+1) over NC STATE: Stull looked sharp, and Pitt's defense was stellar shutting down the Navy option.
Miami (FL) (-3) over VIRGINIA TECH: Miami's defense is too fast for Tyrod Taylor to be able to make enough plays with his feet. I see this game as a PUSH.
Utep (+35.5) over TEXAS: See observation #4
Iowa (+9.5) over PENN STATE: PSU has been sloppy on offense this year. See observation #3
HOUSTON (pick) over Texas Tech: I think I pulled a muscle jumping on the Case Keenum band wagon.
OREGON STATE (-2.5) over Arizona: Somehow, this line started at Zona -1. It has moved 3.5 points for a reason.
PICK OF THE WEEK:
Tcu (+2.5) over CLEMSON: Defense rules
NFL
Tennessee (+3) over NY JETS: I just don't see the Titans going 0-3.
HOUSTON (-3.5) over Jacksonville: Jags are just terrible
PHILADELPHIA (-8) over Kansas City: Don't take a team that's coach said he would bench his $28M QB after 1 game.
BALTIMORE (-13) over Cleveland: Expect 250 rush yrds out of the Ravens
NY Giants (-6.5) over TAMPA BAY: The Giants will run much better than they did in Dallas
DETROIT (+6) over Washington: This is the week it happens. Lions end the streak.
Green Bay (-6.5) over St. Louis: Rogers bounces back for a big win.
San Francisco (+6.5) over MINNESOTA: Favre throws 2 picks.
Atlanta (+4) over NEW ENGLAND: NE drops to 1-2 and Matty Ice continues on.
Chicago (-1.5) over SEATTLE: Hasselbeck is hurt, Cutler looks better. It may be another down year in the Pacific NW.
New Orleans (-6) over BUFFALO: New Orleans has never been to up state New York. They will arrive in style.
Miami (+6) over SAN DIEGO: Rivers may have to throw for 4,500 yards this year.
Pittsburgh (-4) over CINCINNATI: Ochocinco had his day in Green Bay, but Big Ben loooooves playing in the state of Ohio.
OAKLAND (+1.5) over Denver: I trust JaMarcus Russel as much as I trust the entire Bronco team... which is very little.
Indianapolis (+2.5) over ARIZONA: Peyton loves Primetime games. Period.
Carolina (+9) over DALLAS: Over/under on dropped interceptions- 7.
Picks:
Ten, Hou, Phi, Bal, NYG, Det!!!, GB, Min, Atl, Chi, NO, SD, Pit, Oak, Ind, Dal
Hot Chick of the Week:
In honor of Florida State winning big over #7 BYU:
NCAA
S. CAROLINA (+4) over Ole Miss: Follow observation #5. Miss might loose this game.
NEVADA (+7) over Missouri: see Ole Miss
OHIO STATE (-14) over Illinois: In the battle of overly BLACK names, Terrelle is better than Juice
Boise St (-16.5) over BOWLING GREEN: Boise St. gave up 507 yrds on the road last week and won by 17
CINCINNATI (-17) over Fresno St: Fresno is playing at 9am their time against the best QB in the Northeast
MISS ST. (+12.5) over Lsu: see Missouri
Arkansas (+17.5) over ALABAMA: The Hogs have the best QB nobody knows about. They will keep this closer then people think
Florida (-22) over KENTUCKY: Flu or no flu, Urban will be out to make a statement after last week.
OREGON (+5.5) over Cal: 2 words.... TRAP GAME!!!
FLORIDA ST. (-14) over S. Florida: Grothe is out for the year. SFU has no offense now.
GEORGIA TECH (-2.5) over Unc: UNC has yet to impress this year like people thought they would.
Colorado St. (+17) over BYU: State is better then people think.
Pitt (+1) over NC STATE: Stull looked sharp, and Pitt's defense was stellar shutting down the Navy option.
Miami (FL) (-3) over VIRGINIA TECH: Miami's defense is too fast for Tyrod Taylor to be able to make enough plays with his feet. I see this game as a PUSH.
Utep (+35.5) over TEXAS: See observation #4
Iowa (+9.5) over PENN STATE: PSU has been sloppy on offense this year. See observation #3
HOUSTON (pick) over Texas Tech: I think I pulled a muscle jumping on the Case Keenum band wagon.
OREGON STATE (-2.5) over Arizona: Somehow, this line started at Zona -1. It has moved 3.5 points for a reason.
PICK OF THE WEEK:
Tcu (+2.5) over CLEMSON: Defense rules
NFL
Tennessee (+3) over NY JETS: I just don't see the Titans going 0-3.
HOUSTON (-3.5) over Jacksonville: Jags are just terrible
PHILADELPHIA (-8) over Kansas City: Don't take a team that's coach said he would bench his $28M QB after 1 game.
BALTIMORE (-13) over Cleveland: Expect 250 rush yrds out of the Ravens
NY Giants (-6.5) over TAMPA BAY: The Giants will run much better than they did in Dallas
DETROIT (+6) over Washington: This is the week it happens. Lions end the streak.
Green Bay (-6.5) over St. Louis: Rogers bounces back for a big win.
San Francisco (+6.5) over MINNESOTA: Favre throws 2 picks.
Atlanta (+4) over NEW ENGLAND: NE drops to 1-2 and Matty Ice continues on.
Chicago (-1.5) over SEATTLE: Hasselbeck is hurt, Cutler looks better. It may be another down year in the Pacific NW.
New Orleans (-6) over BUFFALO: New Orleans has never been to up state New York. They will arrive in style.
Miami (+6) over SAN DIEGO: Rivers may have to throw for 4,500 yards this year.
Pittsburgh (-4) over CINCINNATI: Ochocinco had his day in Green Bay, but Big Ben loooooves playing in the state of Ohio.
OAKLAND (+1.5) over Denver: I trust JaMarcus Russel as much as I trust the entire Bronco team... which is very little.
Indianapolis (+2.5) over ARIZONA: Peyton loves Primetime games. Period.
Carolina (+9) over DALLAS: Over/under on dropped interceptions- 7.
Picks:
Ten, Hou, Phi, Bal, NYG, Det!!!, GB, Min, Atl, Chi, NO, SD, Pit, Oak, Ind, Dal
Hot Chick of the Week:
In honor of Florida State winning big over #7 BYU:
Jen Sterger.
She was spotted on national television during the 2005 Miami at FSU game. When she was on camera (exactly as you see below), the usually coy Brett Musburger (on live television) said "1,500 red-blooded Americans just decided to apply to Florida State." She was a FSU cowgirl, and went on to do Playboy.
She was spotted on national television during the 2005 Miami at FSU game. When she was on camera (exactly as you see below), the usually coy Brett Musburger (on live television) said "1,500 red-blooded Americans just decided to apply to Florida State." She was a FSU cowgirl, and went on to do Playboy.
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