Team most likely to have a major drop off from last year:
My picks: Dolphins, Cardinals, Panthers, Broncos
Resutls: Somewhat correct
Dolphins and Panthers are both at 3-5, and will most likely miss the playoffs.
Cards are 5-3, Broncos 6-2. Both teams lead their division. Cards are a week to week project, Broncos seem to be slipping the last 2 weeks.
Player most likely to have a down year:
My Picks: Jay Cutler - QB Bears; Anquan Boldin - WR Cardinals
Result: Pretty close.
Cutler is sitting at 4-4 and watching his old team excel at 6-2. He is having a statistical drop off and will probably miss the playoffs.
Boldin is on pace for less catches, but the big difference: 2008 season - 11 TDs 2009 Season 1TD
Player most likely to have a return to All Pro:
My picks: Larry Johnson - RB Chiefs; Joseph Addai - RB Colts
Results: Major strike out
Addai is the lead running back on the 4th worst rushing attack in the NFL.
Johnson is a complete disaster. After gay-bashing reporters and whining about his coach, he has been released and may not end up on another team this year.
(side note: he still have potential to get picked up by a good team and have a good last 8 weeks)
Team most likely to shock the NFL:
My picks: San Francisco 49ers; New Orleans Saints
Result: Jackpot
49ers started 3-1 but have lost 4 straight. They have an easy schedule so should finish around .500
Saints are 8-0. Enough said.
Break-out Player of the Year:
My picks: Leon Washington - RB Jets; Jonathan Vilma - LB Saints
Result: Not quite there
My picks: Dolphins, Cardinals, Panthers, Broncos
Resutls: Somewhat correct
Dolphins and Panthers are both at 3-5, and will most likely miss the playoffs.
Cards are 5-3, Broncos 6-2. Both teams lead their division. Cards are a week to week project, Broncos seem to be slipping the last 2 weeks.
Player most likely to have a down year:
My Picks: Jay Cutler - QB Bears; Anquan Boldin - WR Cardinals
Result: Pretty close.
Cutler is sitting at 4-4 and watching his old team excel at 6-2. He is having a statistical drop off and will probably miss the playoffs.
Boldin is on pace for less catches, but the big difference: 2008 season - 11 TDs 2009 Season 1TD
Player most likely to have a return to All Pro:
My picks: Larry Johnson - RB Chiefs; Joseph Addai - RB Colts
Results: Major strike out
Addai is the lead running back on the 4th worst rushing attack in the NFL.
Johnson is a complete disaster. After gay-bashing reporters and whining about his coach, he has been released and may not end up on another team this year.
(side note: he still have potential to get picked up by a good team and have a good last 8 weeks)
Team most likely to shock the NFL:
My picks: San Francisco 49ers; New Orleans Saints
Result: Jackpot
49ers started 3-1 but have lost 4 straight. They have an easy schedule so should finish around .500
Saints are 8-0. Enough said.
Break-out Player of the Year:
My picks: Leon Washington - RB Jets; Jonathan Vilma - LB Saints
Result: Not quite there
Washington was having a good year until he broke his ankle last week and is out for the year.
Vilma is a major contributor on a majorly turned around team. He is on pace for over 100 tackles and is a factor in the run-game. Not a lot of big plays out of him yet.
Pro Bowl selections:
I will review the Pro Bowl players at the end of the year. To early to tell.
5 Bold Predctions for the 2nd half:
1) Neither the Saints or Colts will finish 16-0. (ok that one is not that bold)
- The Saints have the easier schedule remaining but still play at Carolina, at Atlanta and have New England and Dallas at home.
- The Colts have no running game and are pretty hurt in the secondary. They will probably loose this weekend when they host New England. They also still have at Houston, at Baltimore, and Dever and the Jets at home.
2) Chris Johnson will break the rushing record this year (2,105 yards)
- Here is their schedule for the remainder of the season: (look at the bad defenses)
Buffalo, @ Houston, Arizona, @ Indy, St. Louis, Miami, San Diego, @ Seattle
He already has 959 yards and Houston and Indy are the only teams remaining really playing good defense.
3) The New York Giants will finish 8-8
- They are falling apart. They have an injured QB and a depleted secondary. But, most importantly, their bread and butter; running the ball and pressuring the QB with a 4-man rush; is not working... at all. Their schedule is not set up for help either:
Atlanta, @ Denver, Dallas, Philadelphia, @ Washington, Carolina, @ Minnesota
The will have to win 4 of those to finish with 9 wins. Its gonna be tough.
4) The Houston Texans will make the playoffs
- PLAYOFFS!!! That's right. Their last 2 difficult games (Indy, NE) are both at home. If they can learn to hold onto the ball, they can finish the year with 10 or 11 wins. They now have 2 good running backs, a solid defense, and the best WR in football with a pretty good QB throwing to him.
5) 7 teams will finish 4-12 or worse
Washington, Detroit, Tampa Bay, St. Louis, Cleveland, Oakland & Kansas City
Looking at their upcoming schedules, there is no way I see anyone one of these teams getting enough wins to get beyond this except MAYBE Washington.
Final Predictions:
AFC
1. Indianapolis: 14-2 **
2. New England: 13-3
3. Cincinnati: 12-4
4. Denver: 11-5
5. Pittsburgh: 12-4 *
6. Houston 10-6 *
** Conference Champ
* Wildcard
(Pittsburgh and Cincinnati split the season series. Cincy wins tie-breaker with a better division record.)
NFC
1. New Orleans: 15-1 **
2. Minnesota: 13-3
3. Philadelphia: 11-5
4. Arizona: 11-5
5. Dallas: 11-5
Vilma is a major contributor on a majorly turned around team. He is on pace for over 100 tackles and is a factor in the run-game. Not a lot of big plays out of him yet.
Pro Bowl selections:
I will review the Pro Bowl players at the end of the year. To early to tell.
5 Bold Predctions for the 2nd half:
1) Neither the Saints or Colts will finish 16-0. (ok that one is not that bold)
- The Saints have the easier schedule remaining but still play at Carolina, at Atlanta and have New England and Dallas at home.
- The Colts have no running game and are pretty hurt in the secondary. They will probably loose this weekend when they host New England. They also still have at Houston, at Baltimore, and Dever and the Jets at home.
2) Chris Johnson will break the rushing record this year (2,105 yards)
- Here is their schedule for the remainder of the season: (look at the bad defenses)
Buffalo, @ Houston, Arizona, @ Indy, St. Louis, Miami, San Diego, @ Seattle
He already has 959 yards and Houston and Indy are the only teams remaining really playing good defense.
3) The New York Giants will finish 8-8
- They are falling apart. They have an injured QB and a depleted secondary. But, most importantly, their bread and butter; running the ball and pressuring the QB with a 4-man rush; is not working... at all. Their schedule is not set up for help either:
Atlanta, @ Denver, Dallas, Philadelphia, @ Washington, Carolina, @ Minnesota
The will have to win 4 of those to finish with 9 wins. Its gonna be tough.
4) The Houston Texans will make the playoffs
- PLAYOFFS!!! That's right. Their last 2 difficult games (Indy, NE) are both at home. If they can learn to hold onto the ball, they can finish the year with 10 or 11 wins. They now have 2 good running backs, a solid defense, and the best WR in football with a pretty good QB throwing to him.
5) 7 teams will finish 4-12 or worse
Washington, Detroit, Tampa Bay, St. Louis, Cleveland, Oakland & Kansas City
Looking at their upcoming schedules, there is no way I see anyone one of these teams getting enough wins to get beyond this except MAYBE Washington.
Final Predictions:
AFC
1. Indianapolis: 14-2 **
2. New England: 13-3
3. Cincinnati: 12-4
4. Denver: 11-5
5. Pittsburgh: 12-4 *
6. Houston 10-6 *
** Conference Champ
* Wildcard
(Pittsburgh and Cincinnati split the season series. Cincy wins tie-breaker with a better division record.)
NFC
1. New Orleans: 15-1 **
2. Minnesota: 13-3
3. Philadelphia: 11-5
4. Arizona: 11-5
5. Dallas: 11-5
6. Atlanta: 10-6
** Conference Champ
* Wildcard
(Philadelphia and Dallas split season series. Philly wins tie-breaker wtih better divisional record)
I will make playoff and Super Bowl picks at the end of the season.
** Conference Champ
* Wildcard
(Philadelphia and Dallas split season series. Philly wins tie-breaker wtih better divisional record)
I will make playoff and Super Bowl picks at the end of the season.
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